The Big Social score so far:
- Twitter: burning
- Reddit: detonated a bomb under itself
- Meta: rumored to join #ActivityPub with a new app
- YouTube: videos were always 2nd to “native” ones on the other networks, but they could trivially open an #ActivityPub firehose (and maintain their preroll ads while doing so)
- rest of Google: never found organic success and don’t have a bet in the game apart from wanting to index everything
No predictions here, just stating the obvious. @fediverse
You forgot about Google+, which Google was pushing hard (forcing YouTube users to have Google+ accounts even!) and then shut down. 😄
Fun fact: Google+ started after the early version of Fediverse, and shuttered years ago. There is continuity on fedi with some instances running continuously since before Google+ was a thing. 👈
The gross thing about it too was it forced many people on YouTube to switch over from a username to their actual personal name, which was basically one of the only lasting side effects of their push for its attachment to YouTube.